China making youth unemployment a 'top priority'

The empty seats belied China’s stubbornly high youth unemployment rate — a problem so pressing that President Xi Jinping this week told top Communist Party (CCP) cadres it should be a “top priority”.

His words have been seen by many analysts as a signal that reforms could be in the pipeline ahead of July’s Third Plenum, a meeting that has historically unveiled important changes in economic policy direction.

Youth unemployment stood at 14.7 percent in April, official data showed — and in June, another 11.8 million students will graduate from university, adding to the bottleneck.

That number had soared to an unprecedented 21.3 percent in mid-2023, before officials paused publishing monthly figures. They began releasing them again in December after adjusting the calculation method.

Hospitality and human resources firms dominated Friday’s small job fair, one of many hosted by local authorities over recent weeks in anticipation of the imminent influx of university leavers.

“It’s difficult to find a job that matches your degree and aspirations,” one of the few young jobseekers at the fair, a data sciences student, told AFP.

“Lots of college students actually have too high expectations,” said Julia Shao, who was recruiting for a restaurant chain.

“They do not prefer this kind of basic position. They prefer… a fancy job.”

Xi specifically mentioned graduates in his speech to the CCP Politburo on Monday, noting that “more jobs should be created for them to apply what they have learned and what they are adept at”.

His remarks follow “a steady drumbeat of comments from China’s leadership underlining the urgency” of the matter, Erica Tay, director of macro research at Maybank, told AFP.

The issue has been hanging over the government for some time.

Together with persistently low consumption and a long-running property sector crisis, the unemployment situation has been labelled a key culprit for China’s uneven post-pandemic recovery.

“While details in Xi’s comments are vague, it’s clear a policy shift is underway,” said Harry Murphy Cruise of Moody’s Analytics.

“We expect policies aimed at reducing youth unemployment to be a key pillar of the discussions (at the Third Plenum).”

In the remarks published Monday, Xi said young people should be encouraged “to find jobs or start businesses in key fields (and) industries”.

“Market-oriented and social channels should be expanded for young people to find a job,” he was quoted as saying.

Murphy Cruise said he expected the government to increase wage subsidies to persuade companies to hire recent graduates, as well as create more work placements for students.

However, these were only “band-aid solutions”, he said.

In the long term, “larger industrial and education policy reforms” were needed to ensure a better match between graduates’ skills and employer demands, he said.

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